I
started my investing/trading journey doing a lot of technical analysis. It was
a rough ride to begin with but then I learned a lot along the way. Now I know a
good deal about technical analysis. Technical analysis works great in the
shorter time frame but won’t always be able to explain the longer term dynamics
of individual stocks. That’s why I turned into Fundamental Analysis for
answers. While I won’t categorize myself as a large-cap value investor, I am
looking for buy and hold stock ideas now rather than churning for quick profit
for me and my broker. But does this mean that all my Technical analysis
knowledge goes to waste? Not necessarily. I know that timing the market is a
fool’s game. But technical analysis can at least help you pick the stocks when
they are oversold rather than chasing an overbought stock where you saw value
and then finding yourself down 5%-10% just because the short term traders sold
at those levels. In the long term, this won’t matter so much but a good entry
level can sometimes mean saving almost a year’s worth of dividend or even more.
Now that’s something.
My
strategy going forward will be to look for solid businesses selling at a good
price in the market and this stock should be looking oversold on the technical
indicators as well. This will help me avoid situations like buying into MCD at
$99 and finding the stock at $94 after a couple of weeks of correction. Well,
not always avoid. The stock can still continue to trade down, but this just
adds one more parameter to the bunch that helps us find good ‘Value’ buys in
the market. Hopefully, this addition will enhance my investment strategy.
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